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    National Tsing Hua University Institutional Repository > 科技管理學院  > 經濟學系 > 會議論文  >  Completing Cohort Incomplete Fertility Schedules

    Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://nthur.lib.nthu.edu.tw/dspace/handle/987654321/45152

    Title: Completing Cohort Incomplete Fertility Schedules
    Authors: Eric S. Lin;P.C. Roger Cheng
    教師: 林世昌
    Date: 2008
    Publisher: Western Economic Association International
    Relation: Western Economic Association International,83rd Annual Conference,Hawaii,2008
    Keywords: cohort fertility schedule
    APC model
    fertility forecast
    Abstract: This paper develops a simple age-period-cohort framework in completing incomplete cohort fertility schedules, and makes full use of 1917–2005 U.S. data to obtain robust outcomes. Empirically, we indicate that the period effect is the key to transforming a fertility level into a fertility schedule. Accompanied by the smoothed version of tempo-variance-adjusted total fertility rates proposed in Kohler and Philipov (2001), we approximate the cohort fertility schedules fairly well and the estimates of all distributional parameters can be thereby obtained. Our approach is easy to implement and the data requirement is relatively light, indicating that the proposed method is readily applicable to countries whose data lengths are insufficiently long, and would be helpful for further empirical investigation of the relationship between cohort fertility behavior and other cohort-specific socioeconomic factors.
    URI: http://www.demographic-research.org/Volumes/Vol23/9/default.htm
    Appears in Collections:[經濟學系] 會議論文

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